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Daily updates on the Karachi Stock Market, with news, company dividends and KSE-100 index movements.The rollercoaster of a day trader's dream /nightmare riding the KSE-100 index. More than 630 posts and counting ...

11,180 - More bashing

February 28, 2007

11,180Another day of downside at the Karachi Stock Exchange. The market opened down with a gap of 135 points making a low of 11,157 and closed at 11,180. Perhaps it was more the ripples from yesterday’s China stock market crash, which fucked markets worldwide, than the impending CLN issue that took the market down. There was some foreign selling in Fauji Fertilizer and Engro towards end and OGDC got bashed down to 119.25. The market has closed below its 30 DMA after some time. 11,100 and 10,900 are the next downward resistance levels.

SCRA inflow of $12 million takes February’s total to $161.6 million and $543 million for the current fiscal year.

Dividends : Bank of Punjab : 32.5% Bonus. EPS : Rs.13.14
ICI Pakistan : 30% Cash. EPS : Rs.10.49
Sui South Gas : EPS : Rs. 0.72

The Bank of Punjab Limited (BOP) has earned a pre-tax profit of Rs 4.8 billion in the year 2006 against Rs 3.2 billion in the preceding year, reflecting an increase of 51 percent….Earning per Share (EPS) for the year ending on December 31, was Rs 13.14 as compared to Rs 8.13 in the preceding year…Bank’s total assets on December 31 stood at Rs 165 billion , showing a growth of 48 percent from Rs 111 billion last year. Deposits and advances of the bank grew by 56 percent and 59 percent to Rs 137.7 billion and Rs 101.3 billion respectively…. Aaj News

News : The Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC) has announced acquisition of 70 percent working interest, along with operatorship, in Guddu Block, for IPR Transoil Corporation (IPRTOC). Guddu block covers an area of 2093.4 sq km over Sindh and Punjab provinces.The Block lies in the Middle Indus Basin within the largest gas producing fields of Pakistan ie, Sui, Qadirpur, and Man…. Business Recorder

Lower Caps : Fauji Fertilizer

Market Low : 11,157.77 High : 11,376.12

Market Close : 11,180.02  – 196.10 points down

 

OGDCL share certificates issued

The Privatisation Commission has announced that the share certificates, along with transfer deeds, of Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) Secondary Public Offering (SPO) have been delivered to the Bankers to the offer.
Applicants have been advised to collect their shares certificates from the respective bank branch, through which they had tendered their applications…. Source : Business Recorder

11,378

February 27, 2007

11,378The KSE-100 index continued to take a hammering  making a low of 11,251 and then recovered to close at 11,378. Bank Alfalah was the volume leader of the day having announced its results this morning. The market has to cross 11,500 and hold above it for further upside. With the Client Level Netting issue on March 5th, the market should stay rangebound until its absorbed. 11,635 still remains the major hurdle to overcome for serious upside. As all the major blue chip stocks resulted are out barring BOP 2moro, activity will be stock specific in those that gave good results. While a pullback is possible, invest in more Vaseline !!

Dividends : Bank Alfalah Ltd (BAFL) : 30% Bonus. EPS : Rs.3.86 .RESULT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31/12/2OO6
PROFIT BEFORE TAXATION RS. IN MILLION 2,565.945 / PROFIT AFTER TAXATION RS. IN MILLION 1,762.691

Allied Bank Ltd (ABL) : 25% Cash + 20% Bonus. EPS : Rs.9.8
Attock Cement : EPS : Rs.6.91 

Bank of Punjab and Sui South gas will announce their results 2moro. 

News : Fertilisers offtake across the country in January 2007 saw significant drop, by nearly 27 percent, while the prices rose by Rs 2 to Rs 8 per bag… Business Recorder

Pakistan’s earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2007 is expected to be 20.6 percent, the second highest in Asia behind Indonesia, which has expected EPS growth of 26.2 percent, according to a Merrill Lynch report earlier this month….Source : Aaj News

Lower Cap : Pioneer Cement

Market Low : 11,251.10  High : 11,413.30

Market Close : 11,378.02 – 15.95 points down

 

11,393 - Market gets bashed

February 26, 2007

11,393 - A good bashingThe Karachi Stock market was unable to breach its upward resistance level at 11,635 and got a good bashing down to 11,387 and closed down at 11,393. Banks were royally fucked with NBP down Rs.14 on results lower than expectations, MCB down Rs.9, BAFL and Faysal Bank closing at lower cap and Soneri Bank lower cap for the 2nd day. The next downward resistance is 11,300 followed by 11,100. Almost all of the KSE-100 index’s gains last week were wiped off today. Keep the Vaseline at close reach !

Dividends : National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) : 40% Cash + 15% Bonus. EPS : Rs.24.01
Pakistan Oilfields Ltd (POL) : EPS: Rs.19
Faysal Bank (FABL) : 25% Cash EPS : Rs.6.65
DG Khan Cement (DGKC) : EPS : Rs.3.40

The National Bank of Pakistan (NBP), reported a 35.5 percent rise in net profit for the full year 2006 on Monday as higher interest rates brought greater returns on lending.The NBP reported a net profit of 17.22 billion rupees ($283.2 million) for the year to Dec. 31, 2006, up from 12.71 billion rupees last year.The result was below a range of 17.90 billion rupees to 19.50 billion rupees ($295 million-$321 million), forecast by five analysts surveyed by Reuters…. Aaj News

News :  MCB Bank has entered into agreement with Petronas to participate in joint bid to acquire 51 per cent stake in Pakistan State Oil (PSO), being privatised by the Privatisation Commission… Aaj News

The cement manufacturers have unanimously decided to set Rs 240 as the new price of cement per 50-kg bag in the domestic market after government’s intervention… Business Recorder

Lower Caps : Bank Alfalah / Faysal Bank / Soneri Bank / Sui North Gas 

Market Low : 11,387.32  High : 11,619.75

Market Close : 11,393.69 – 214.14 points down 

 

11,607

February 23, 2007

11,607The Karachi Stock market made a high of 11,636 but didn’t have the juice to break its resistance level as close above it. It got banged down to 11,542 (yesterday’s closing index ) and closed up at 11,607. Volumes have increased today with 192.2 million shares traded. The Bank of Punjab was the volume leader with 31.9 million shares traded, closing up Rs.4. Fuck all happened in OGDC, its still below its 30 DMA. PSO shot up by Rs.15.25.
The market showed some strength with a quick recovery from 11,542 but still needs to close convincingly over 11,635 for more upside joy. 

Dividends : MCB : 15% cash + 15% Bonus : EPS : Rs.23.4
Sui North Gas : EPS: Rs.2.16
Soneri Bank : 10% Bonus : EPS : Rs.3.29 

National Bank of Pakistan, Faysal Bank and Pakistan Oilfields will announce their results on Monday.

Sui Northern Gas Co. Pakistan’s biggest gas distributor, posted a 67 percent decline in second-quarter profit because of higher taxes. Net income fell to 408.46 million rupees ($6.7 million), or 0.74 rupees a share, in the three months ended Dec. 31, from 1.23 billion rupees, or 2.24 rupees…Revenue rose to 30.5 billion rupees from 24.1 billion rupees a year ago.

News : The government is set to review a cap on the sale prices of natural gas to attract much needed foreign investment in its upstream oil and gas sector, government and industry officials said on Friday. Oil and gas industry stakeholders are working on proposals, to be submitted to the government in coming weeks, to help frame a policy to boost investment in energy exploration, and to cut an annual oil import bill of $6.5 billion….The current pricing policy has capped gas sale prices of over 90 percent of fields at $36 a barrel crude oil equivalent…. Aaj News

Lower Caps : Callmate Telips + Sui North + Soneri Bank 

Market Low : 11,542.21 High : 11,636.87

Market Close : 11,607.84 – 64.85 points up

11,542

February 22, 2007

11,542The Karachi Stock market made a high of 11,625 and closed up at 11,542. The market seems to be stagnant at these levels and needs to breakout either way. OGDC has closed below its 30 DMA at 122. PTCL’s  result was below expectations. 2moro’s Friday show could see a sellout in lieu of the upcoming CLN issue or some upside based on the results due 2moro and in anticipation of those due on Monday. A close above 11,635 would pave the way for 11,750.

Dividends : Pakistan Telecommunication Co.(PTCL) : EPS : Rs.164
Pakistan State Oil (PSO) : 60% Cash EPS : Rs.6.62
Callmate Telips (CTTL) : EPS : Rs.9.23
Mari Gas Company : 22% Cash EPS: Rs.8.72
BOC Pakistan : 120% Cash EPS : Rs.17.96

MCB, Sui North and Soneri bank are due to announce their results 2moro. 

Pakistan Telecommunication Co. the nation’s biggest telephone service provider, said second-quarter profit fell 40 percent after the company lost business to rivals, including Callmate Telips Telecom Ltd. and Pakistan Mobile
Communications Ltd., or Mobilink. Net income fell to 3.2 billion rupees ($53 million), or 0.63 rupees a share, in the three months ended Dec. 31, from 5.3 billion rupees, or 1.04 rupees, a year earlier, the Islamabad- based company said in a statement today. Revenue fell to 15.88 billion rupees from 17.23 billion rupees. Source : Bloomberg

Pakistan State Oil Ltd. the nation’s biggest fuel retailer, said second-quarter profit declined 36 percent as a drop in prices eroded the value of its stockpile of refined products. Net income fell to 569 million rupees ($9.4million),or 3.32 rupees a share, in the three months ended Dec. 31, from 884 million rupees, or 5.16 rupees, a year earlier,..Sales rose 19 percent to 82.9 billion rupees from 69.9 billion rupees a year earlier. Pakistan State Oil will pay a dividend of 6 rupees a share. Source : Bloomberg

News : Emirates Telecom Corp. (Etisalat) the largest telecommunications company in the United Arab Emirates, will spend $500 million on expanding Pakistan’s mobile phone network run by its unit Pakistan Telecommunication Co."In mobile, there is already expansion now for 10 million lines and additional capacity will be added later on,'’ Chairman
Mohammad Hasan Omran said in an interview in Pakistan’s capitalIslamabad yesterday."For fixed-line, there is a lot of
potential also. We are now working on expanding that.'’ … Pakistan Telecom, which owns the country’s second-biggest
mobile phone service provider known as Ufone, with more than 10 million customers, is competing with five other rivals including the biggest called Mobilink, which is a unit of Egypt’s Orascom Telecom Holding SAE, in a market that the government says is adding 1 million mobile phone users every month. Half of Pakistan’s 160 million people are expected to use telephones by 2009, up from 23 percent in March last year and 4.3 percent in 2003… Source : Bloomberg

Upper Cap : Callmate Telips

Market Low : 11,510.54 High : 11,625.64

Market Close : 11,542.99 — 22.37 points up 

 

11,521

February 21, 2007

11,521The KSE-100 index made a high of 11,538 and closed up at 11,521. OGDC’s result did not take the market soaring up as it was below market expectations. The market has to cross 11,635 and hold to continue its upward path, otherwise its down to 11,300 followed by 11,100-10,900. One could be heading for the Vaseline jar soon.

Dividends : Oil and Gas Development Co.Ltd : 17.5% Cash. EPS : Rs.5.37 .RESULT FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31/12/2OO6 PROFIT BEFORE TAXATION RS. IN MILLION 31,659.680 / PROFIT AFTER TAXATION RS. IN MILLION 23,112.620

Bank Al-Habib (BAHL) : 15% Cash + 40% Bonus. EPS : Rs.6.69
Fauji Cement : EPS : Rs.0.98 

PTCL will announce its results 2moro. 

Oil & Gas Development Co.Pakistan’s biggest fuel explorer, said first-half profit rose 13 percent. Net income rose to 23 billion rupees ($380 million), or 5.37 rupees a share, in the six months ended Dec. 31, from 20.3 billion rupees, or 4.72 rupees, a year earlier.. Source : Bloomberg

News : Ezaz Sheikh, Chairman All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) on Wednesday said the manufacturers have slashed the cement prices from Rs. 10 to Rs. 15 per bag.The APCMA chairman while talking to a leading news channel, Aaj TV, disclosed among various cement manufacturers the Kohat Cement has cut the prices to Rs. 10 while Dera Ghazi Khan Cement and Lucky Cement have made a Rs. 15 reduction on per bag basis…. Aaj News

The Karachi Electric Supply Corporation (KESC) is yet to pay Rs4-5 billion to Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC), which has defaulted on payments to state-owned gas exploration and production companies…It was earlier reported that the gas utility has not paid for gas purchases from Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC), Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) and Government Holdings Private Limited (GHPL) because it has not received bills from KESC… The News

Upper Cap: MCB
Lower Cap : Pioneer Cement 

Market Low : 11,393.22 High : 11,538.49

Market Close : 11,521.49 — 58.31 points up 

News Update

February 20, 2007

The federal government has given one week deadline to the cement manufacturers to bring down ‘unjustified’ cement prices substantially or face action including a ban on export. If the cement manufacturers do not bring down prices substantially before the next ECC meeting, the government will be compelled to take action.This includes a ban on export, withdrawal of subsidy or resumption of subsidy on import, said Minister for Industries and Production Jahangir Tareen… Aaj News

Pakistan’s largest oil marketing firm, Pakistan State Oil (PSO), has cut expansion plans ahead of its planned privatisation in June…"Since we are in the privatisation mode, we have decided not to go for any long-term commitments and investments," Jalees Ahmad Siddiqui, managing director of PSO, told Reuters…. Aaj News

The government will offer 17 onshore blocks for oil and gas exploration for bidding this month,..Sher Mohammad Khan, director for exploration and concessions at the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources, said the blocks to be offered are in four zones…."We plan an open bidding and local and well as international firms will be allowed to participate,"…Khan said the government will also sell one offshore bock in the Indus Basin, off southern Sindh province.The bidding for Indus Basin block will be held on February 27th… Aaj News

Down to 11,463

11,463The KSE-100 index opened up and made a high of 11,676. The Karachi Stock market then dipped down to 11,435 and closed down at 11,463. NBP got severely buggered out of shape on rumours of lesser earnings than expected, hitting its lower cap at one stage. Whether there is anything in the rumours or a last grab at low prices remains to be seen. The rest of the market followed suit with ORGYDC down to Rs.123.75 , POL down to 340 and MCB down by Rs.6.2. Over half of yesterday’s rise of 198 points has gone leaving in its wake a stream of punters scratching their heads and reaching for the Vaseline. It will be a rocky ride back to test 12k !

Dividends : Nishat Mills : EPS : Rs.5.48
PICIC Bank : EPS : Rs.3.54
Cherat Cement : EPS : Rs.1.18

OGDC will announce its results 2moro. 

Nishat Mills Ltd., Pakistan’s biggest maker of textiles, had a 7.6% decline in fiscal second-quarter profit after financing costs increased. Net income fell to 450 million rupees ($7.4 million), or 2.81 rupees a share, in the three months to Dec. 31, from 487 million rupees, or 3.05 rupees…Sales at Lahore-based Nishat rose 7.6 percent to 4.39 billion rupees… Source : Bloomberg

News : The government is likely to impose a ban on cement export, if the manufacturers showed reluctance to bring down retail prices to Rs 230-240 per bag, as Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz has termed the current prices as ‘manipulated’… Business Recorder

Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) permitted National Bank to initiate its operations in Saudi Arabia without the sale of Bank Aljazeera shares. Aaj News

Bank Al Falah will provide long term financing to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) to purchase, build and improve business infrastructure…. Daily Times

Upper Cap : Callmate Telips
Lower Cap : Pioneer Cement 

Market Low : 11,435.10  High : 11,676.01

Market Close : 11,463.18 – 114.58 points down

News Update

The Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) has declined payments of billions of rupees to three public sector exploration and production (E&P) companies - the Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC), Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL), and Government Holding (Pvt) Limited (GHPL)…SSGC owes over Rs 9 billion to the public sector oil and gas sector entities, with over Rs 4 billion major share to go to OGDC. Next comes PPL with Rs 2 billion. Similarly, GHPL is also facing financial crunch due to non-payment of outstanding amount of Rs over Rs 2 billion from SSGC…. Business Recorder

The price of fertiliser has been increased throughout the country by Rs 10 to the level of Rs 545 per bag… Daily Times

Shareholders of Crescent Commercial Bank Ltd (CCBL) have approved the issuance of 600 million ordinary shares at Rs 10 per share to Samba Financial Group (SFG) of Saudi Arabia….On completion of the deal, the bank’s issued and paid up capital will increase to Rs 8.8 billion, one of the highest in Pakistan’s banking sector.Samba, which is a premier financial group of Saudi Arabia with a market capitalisation of $ 22.5 billion and shareholder’s equity of $ 3.9 billion will have 68%  stake in CCBL’s equity…. Aaj News

 

 

11,557 - Upside begins again

February 19, 2007

11,577The Karachi Stock market made a high of 11,578 and closed up at 11,557 after some days of correcting, since it crossed the 12k mark. ORGYDC was the star performer of the day with the top volume of shares traded, up Rs.3.6 and PPL up Rs.8.80. DGKC Lucky and Maple Leaf Cement closed at upper cap. The next upward resistance is from 11,635 -750. Given that OGDC, POL, PTC, & MCB amongst others are due to announce their results see week, the market should head upwards.

Dividends : Lucky Cement . EPS: Rs.3

Board Meetings for February - updated 

Cherat Cement and Nishat mills will announce their results 2moro 

News : Pakistan Petroleum Ltd plans to spend up to 10 billion rupees ($165 million) a year on exploration in Pakistan and is also getting involved in a project in Yemen…PPL wants to expand the number of blocks it operates in Pakistan to 30 in the next few years, from 24 now, said Syed Munsif Raza, Managing Director of Pakistan’s second largest oil and gas exploration firm…PPL, which operates Pakistan’s largest gas field at Sui, in the troubled south-western province of Balochistan, accounts for 26 percent of Pakistan’s gas production. Source : Business Recorder

Pakistan’s top telecom firm, Pakistan Telecommunication Co Ltd (PTCL), is expected to show a slight decline in first-half profits on falling revenue from international call traffic, analysts said on Monday.PTCL, in which UAE-based Emirates Telecommunications Corp (Etisalat) has a 26 percent controlling stake, is scheduled to release its financial statement for the six months to Dec. 31, 2006, on Thursday….Earnings per share for the period are expected to range between 1.98 rupees and 2.11 rupees, compared with 2.12 rupees in the corresponding period last year… AAJ News

Upper Caps : DGKC / Lucky Cement / Maple Leaf Cement / Pakistan Refinery 

Market Low : 11,311.35 High : 11,578.38 

Market Close : 11,577.71 – 198.31 points up

11,379

February 16, 2007

11,379Shrinking volumes at the Karachi Stock Exchange with 119 million shares traded and a high of 11,481 down to 11,332 closing down at 11,379. Despite the low volumes which perhaps indicate that the market is bottoming out, POL and MCB got fucked by Rs.8 and 7.50 respectively. There should be a pullback soon, but continuing upward momentum needs a break of 11,635. Downside support is 11,300 followed by 11,100. Keep the Vaseline handy !!

SCRA inflow of $28.4 million taking February’s total to $153.7 million and the fiscal year to $ 535 million

Dividends : Kot Addu Power Company (KAPCO) : 30% Cash. EPS : Rs.2.64
Picic Growth Fund (PGF) : 20% Cash . EPS : Rs. (0.42)
Rafhan Best Foods (RBFL) : 200% Cash EPS : Rs.30.53

Lucky Cement will announce its results on Monday. 

Kot Addu Power Co. Pakistan’s biggest non-state electricity producer, posted a 38 percent decline in second-quarter profit after a 10-year tax holiday ended. Net income fell to 1.2 billion rupees ($19.8 million), or 1.37 rupees a share, in the three months ended Dec. 31, from 1.95 billion rupees, or 2.22 rupees, a year earlier, the Lahore-based company said today in a statement to the Karachi Stock Exchange. Revenue rose to 8.62 billion rupees from 7.85 billion rupees a
year earlier…The government holds 44 percent of the company after selling 20% to the public for 9.48 billion rupees in 2005. London-based International Power Plc owns a 36 percent stake. Source : Bloomberg

News : The Bank of Punjab Ltd. Pakistan’s biggest regional financial-services company, plans to raise as much as $100 million in an overseas sale of shares to be traded in London or Dubai, Chief Executive Hamesh Khan said. The bank, the South Asian’ nation’s fourth-biggest by market value, may sell the global depositary receipts within the next 12 months and use the proceeds to expand its network nationwide… Bank of Punjab’s shares have risen 46 percent since 2005,
more than twice as fast as the benchmark stock index….The bank, 52% owned by the provincial government,
will add as many as 10 branches a year to expand its network to 300 outlets nationwide. Source : Bloomberg

The Board of Directors of Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) has asked the MD, KSE, M A Lodhi to resign from the post or otherwise his removal would be recommended to the SECP… Business Recorder

Upper Cap : FCCL
Lower Caps : KAPCO / Pioneer Cement

Market Low : 11,332.23  High : 11,481.98

Market Close : 11,379.40 – 88.56 points down

11,467

February 15, 2007

11,467The Karachi Stock Market took another bashing down to 11,314 and closed up marginally at 11,467. The total volume of shares traded was considerably lower at 183.3 million. The volume leader of the day was KAPCO with 39.8 million shares traded.Cements got fucked as the news is that the Govt. will not accept Rs.260 per 50kg bag and there is a meeting to discuss it on the 20th. Whether the market has bottomed out will be seen in 2moro’s "Friday show ". The next upward resistance is 11,500 and 11,635.

Dividends : Shell Pakistan : 80% Cash EPS : Rs. (6.74) . Loss after taxation Rs.369.321 million
Agriautos Industries (AGIL): EPS : Rs.5.77

KAPCO will be announcing its results 2moro. 

Shell Pakistan Ltd. a unit of Royal Dutch Shell Plc, posted a second-quarter loss because falling prices eroded the value of refined products it held as stock.Shell Pakistan declared a loss of 152.4 million rupees ($2.5million), or 2.75 rupees a share in the three months ended Dec.31, from a profit of 209.9 million rupees, or 3.83 rupees a share,a year ago, the Karachi-based company said in a statement to the stock exchange today. Net sales fell to 27.6 billion rupees from
29.7 billion rupees a year ago. Source : Bloomberg

News :  The JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited (JCR-VIS) has assigned a medium to long-term entity rating of AAA (Triple A) and short-term rating of A1+ (A One Plus) to Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL). The outlook on the medium to long-term rating is ‘Stable’….Business Recorder

Pakistan domestic oil marketing giant Pakistan State Oil is expected to post sharply lower first-half profit as falling global prices offset stronger sales…PSO is expected to post a net profit for its July-December first half of between 1.35 billion rupees and 1.97 billion rupees ($22.2-32.4 million), according to a range of forecasts from five analysts surveyed by Reuters… Source: Business Recorder

Lower Caps : CTTL / Maple Leaf Cement / Pioneer Cement 

Market Low : 11,314.68  High : 11,477 

Market Close : 11,467.77 – 13.01 points up 

Re-composition of the KSE-30 Index

The Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) has re-composed the KSE-30 index, based on free-float market capitalisation as on December 31, 2006. The re-composed index will be implemented from February 15, 2007….The re-composition exercise of the index has been conducted based on the revised criteria for measuring liquidity, whereby Average Daily Trade Value of Shares (ADTVS) has been substituted with ‘Impact Cost’.

 The 5 new incoming companies include United Bank Limited, Arif Habib Securities Limited, Attock Petroleum Limited, Picic Commercial Bank Limited and Shell Pakistan Limited.

The outgoing companies are Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited, Pak Suzuki Motor Company Limited, Dawood Hercules Chemicals Limited, Packages Limited, and Unilever Pakistan Limited.

Therefore the following companies would be included in KSE-30 index on the basis of re-composition:

MCB Bank Limited
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited
National Bank of Pakistan
Pakistan Petroleum Limited
Pakistan Oilfields Limited
Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited
Pakistan Telecommunication Co Limited
Pakistan Industrial Credit & Investment Corporation Limited
Pakistan State Oil Company Limited
The Hub Power Company Limited
Engro Chemical Pakistan Limited
The Bank of Punjab Askari Commercial Bank Limited
D G Khan Cement Limited
Fauji Fertiliser Bin Qasim Limited
Bank Al-Habib Limited
Faysal Bank Limited
Adamjee Insurance Company Limited
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited
Sui Southern Gas Company Limited
Nishat Mills Limited
Bank Al Falah Limited
Arif Habib Securities Limited
Kot Addu Power Company Limited
United Bank Limited
Lucky Cement Limited
Shell Pakistan Limited
Picic Commercial Bank Limited
Attock Petroleum Limited
Fauji Cement Company Limited

Source : Business Recorder
 

11,454 - More Correction

February 14, 2007

11,454 - A good bashingThe KSE-100 index made a high of 11,766 and then staggered down to 11,285 to close down at 11,454. A volatile day with  intra-day swings of 481 points. The market has undergone an intra-day correction of 762 from its recent peak of 12,047 to today’s low of 11,285. OGDC was bashed down to 120.50 at one stage followed by NBP losing all its gains from yesterday making a low of 281.75. PPL got fucked as well and PTC was down at lower cap briefly. A big shakeout, after 10 consecutive days of a 1000 point upside. The market has broken its support of 11,635-500 which it needs to regain to test the 12k index again. I’m sure the cobwebs were dusted off the Vaseline jars today !

Dividends : Askari Commercial Bank : 10% Cash + 50% Bonus. EPS: Rs.11.23
United Bank Ltd (UBL) : 30% Cash + 25% Bonus. EPS : Rs.14.62
Hub Power Company (HUBCO) : 12.5% Cash . EPS : Rs.1.08  

Askari Commercial Bank Ltd. Pakistan’s seventh-largest lender, posted a 11.3 percent increase in full-year profit, helped by higher demand for loans. Net income in the 12 months ended Dec. 31 rose to 2.25 billion rupees ($37 million), or 11.23 rupees a share, from 2.02billion rupees, or 10.09 rupees… Revenue gained 21.6 percent to 6.6 billion rupees.Source : Bloomberg

United Bank Ltd. Pakistan’s third-largest lender, posted a 59 percent increase in full-year profit because of rising demand for credit. Net income in the 12 months ended Dec. 31, rose to 9.47 billion rupees ($152 million), or 14.62 rupees a share, from 5.95billion rupees, or 9.2 rupees… Revenue rose 59 percent to 39.9 billion rupees. Source : Bloomberg

Hub Power Co., Pakistan’s second-biggest privately owned power producer, reported a 16 percent decrease in second-quarter profit because of higher operating costs. Net income in the three months ended Dec. 31 fell to 526 million rupees ($8.6 million), or 0.45 rupee a share, from 628.7million, or 0.54 rupee, a year earlier…Revenue rose 40
percent to 8 billion rupees. Source : Bloomberg

News : The cement retail prices have crossed Rs 260 and are being sold at Rs 270 per 50-kg bag, it was learnt on Tuesday. Retailers insist that their purchase rate was Rs 265, which was above the already-increased price of Rs 260 per 50-kg bag…. Business Recorder

Upper Cap : Pioneer Cement
Lower Cap : Hubco / Cresent Commercial Bank / Lucky Cement / Maple Leaf Cement

Market Low : 11,285.93 High : 11,766.97

Market Close : 11,454.77 — 188.76 points down 

 

11,643

February 13, 2007

11,643The Karachi Stock market made a high of 11,674, dipping down to 11,502 and closed up at 11,643. NBP made an incredible recovery to close up Rs.13.6 at 295.5. BOP made its highest close in nearly a year at 127. PSO, PRL and Shell got a good bashing down. While it looks like the correction is over, there might be another dip downwards. The next upward resistance is 11,720 followed by 11,830.
SCRA inflow of another $28m takes February’s total to 137.7 million and the fiscal year’s total to $519 million.

Dividends : Pakistan Refinery : EPS = Rs. (27.11) LOSS AFTER TAXATION RS. IN MILLION (813.260)
National Refinery : EPS = Rs.16.82
Rafhan Maize : 350% Cash. EPS = Rs.87.62

Board Meetings for February 2007 - updated
No result for HUBCO has been posted as yet. 

Pakistan Refinery Ltd., the nation’s third-largest oil processor, posted a loss in the first-half of the year, because crude prices fell. The refiner reported a net loss of 813 million rupees ($13.4 million), or 27.11 rupees a share, in the six months ended Dec.31, from a profit of 673 million rupees, or 22.42 rupees, a year earlier, the Karachi-based refiner said today in a statement to the stock exchange. Source : Bloomberg

News :The Federal Minister for Industry & Production Jehangir Tareen said that the Government would not allow cement black-marketing and price hike.Talking to Geo News, he said that the cement price of Rs.260 per bag was too much and steps would be taken to reduce it…. meeting on Feb.20th… Geo News

Upper Cap : Pioneer Cement 

Market Low : 11,502.81 High: 11,674.46

Market Close : 11,643.74 — 14.01 points up. 

 

 

News on Banks

Around seven listed and more than 10 non-listed and foreign commercial banks were unable to match the paid-up capital target of Rs 3 billion by December 2006….rumours in the banking industry that among the listed banks, the Bank of Khyber, KASB Bank and Mybank would not be able to match the next paid-up capital target owing to their short reserves, while the Askari Bank, Bank Al Habib, Bank Islami, Crescent Commercial Bank and PICIC Commercial Bank, which also fell short of meeting the paid-up capital target in 2006….. Daily Times

The Privatisation Commission has invited Expressions of Interest (EoIs) from reputed firms or consortium of firms to act as financial advisor for the privatisation of SME Bank. SME Bank is a scheduled commercial bank engaged with the business of banking with the objective of supporting and developing a small and medium enterprises sector in Pakistan…The Privatisation Commission has asked the interested parties to submit EoIs along with a non-refundable processing fee of $1000 or equivalent Pak Rupees no later than Feb 26…. Daily Times

11,629 - More Correction

February 12, 2007

11,629The KSE-100 index made a high of 11,926 and then slowly headed downwards making a low of 11,611 , closing at 11,629. After several days of continuous upside , the market has finally undergone a long overdue correction. MCB and NBP were hammered down to lower cap and Rs.11 respectively followed by PPL down by 9.20. PSO, HUBCO and BOP closed up. How much lower the index will slide to remains to be seen. Having closed around the October 2006 peak , the previous closes were 11,589 and 11,349. While there could be a mini-Vaseline moment for those whose greed didn’t allow them to cut at 12k, the rally is far from over and the market should test its previous high of 12,337 soon.

Dividends : Pakistan Refinery , HUBCO and National Refinery will announce their results 2moro.

News : Pakistan will sell a stake in Pakistan State Oil Company Ltd in next two months and the transaction will be completed by June this year after 14 companies expressed interest in the nation’s biggest fuel supplier… Aaj Tv

The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources has proposed to eliminate cross-subsidies of Rs30 billion on natural gas to fertiliser and domestic sectors and save the industrial sector from collapse… Business Recorder

Upper Cap : Pioneer Cement : Lower Caps : MCB / CCBL

Market Low : 11,611.39 : High : 11,926.14 

Market Close : 11,629.75 – 214.90 points down 

News Update

February 11, 2007

Malaysian Maybank is interested to work with Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) and talks are at an intial stage, said Aftab Mansoor, the President on MCB… Source:  AAJ TV

The government’s threat ‘reduce prices or face action’ has worked as the All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) has agreed to ensure the commodity is sold at an average retail price of Rs260 per bag, which had earlier swelled to about Rs300…. The News

Special Convertible Rupee Accounts (SCRAs), which is the foreign portfolio investment account managed by The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), reached a record high at $491.693 million from July 2006 to date, with $110 million for February so far.

11,844 - Intra-day correction

February 9, 2007

11,844The Karachi Stock Market crossed the 12k index making a high of 12,047 and then dipped down to 11,804 finally closing at 11,844. This is first negative close in 10 trading sessions , long overdue. Whether the intra-day correction of 200 points was sufficient or whether the market will continue downwards on Monday remains to be seen. While MCB, NBP, PPL and POL closed between Rs.9.50 - 4 down, PTC, PSO and FFC held their gains.

Dividends : Bosicor Refinery : 60% Rights

News : Petrobras joins OGDCL in offshore venture : Brazilian Petrobras Oil and Gas B.V has joined Oil and Gas Development Co. Ltd. (OGDCL) to explore for oil and gas off the country’s coast…Petrobras had acquired 50 percent of OGDCL’s working interest in Block 2265-1 Offshore Indus G, a deep water exploration licence in the Indus basin of the Arabian Sea. Source : Business Recorder

The State Bank of Pakistan on Thursday advised all banks and development finance institutions (DFIs) to meet the minimum capital requirement of four billion rupees by December 2007 or be prepared to face penal action…. Business Recorder

The Privatisation Commission board which met here Thursday allowed short-listed parties to submit additional documents for pre-qualification of Pakistan State Oil (PSO)…. Business Recorder

Bosicor Pakistan Limited plans to establish its independent oil-marketing unit, while the management is also planning to increase the overall capacity and Naphtha conversion plant….The company plans to generate funds to revamp the existing facilities, which is expected to complete in the first half of the current year… Daily Times

Lower Caps : Bosicor Refinery

Market Low : 11,804.22  High: 12,047.40

Market Close 11,844.65 – 22.44 points down
 

 

11,868 - Heading for 12,000 plus ?

February 8, 2007

11,868 - heading for 12k ?The KSE-100 index made an intra-day high of 11,907, closing up at 11,868. The volume of shares traded crossed the 400 million mark with  411.8 million shares traded. The market looks like it’s headed to test 12,000 points. There is still no sign of any correction despite nine consecutive positive closes and 1000 points up since Jan.24th. The next upward resistance level is 12,060 with downside towards 11,590. The Karachi Stock market is now up 18.2% for 2007.
There is a good article posted at
Stock Pk about the current bull run with a colourful comparison to running with the bulls at the San Fermin Fiesta in Pamplona, Spain.

News : Minister for Industries and Production Jahangir Tareen has taken serious notice of quantum jump in cement prices and summoned the manufacturers on February 10 to justify their action.The cement prices had gone from Rs 200 to Rs 275 per bag during the last one week at retail level and the consumers do not see any relief in the coming days as demand always remains on the rise in February/March…. Business Recorder

Four more Pakistani companies will launch their Global Depository Receipts (GDRs) at the international market during the current fiscal year, following success of OGDC and MCB. This was stated by Dr Salman Shah, Advisor to Prime Minister on Finance while talking to media after a seminar on ‘Capital Markets: An International Perspective’, jointly organised here on Wednesday by Jahangir Siddiqui Securities and KASB Securities, in collaboration with British High Commission. The Advisor said that Pakistan would also launch long-term bonds this year to keep its presence in the international market, while Kapco, HBL, UBL and NBP would also be launching their GDRs…. Business Recorder

Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) has achieved 100 percent target by drilling 30 wells including 24 exploratory/appraisal and six development wells during 2006….The Company also made five oil and gas discoveries at Nim-1, Dars Deep-1, Tando Allah Yar North-1, Kunnar Deep-1 and Bahu-1. The reserves evaluation of these discoveries is in process and considerable enhancement in oil and gas reserves is expected from the discoveries. Upon completion of development work at these newly discovered fields, the OGDCL anticipates addition in daily production of crude oil and gas by 2,100 barrels and 40 MMCF respectively…. Daily Times

Upper Caps : Crescent Commercial Bank / CTTL / ENGRO / Maple Leaf Cement / Pioneer Cement

Market Low : 11,728.08 High : 11,907.96 

Market Close : 11,868.13  — 140.05 points up   
 

11,729

February 7, 2007

11,729For the moment it seems that yesterday’s drop from 11,763 and down to 11,601 today, appears to be the current correction for the Karachi Stock market. The market made a high of 11,756 and closed up at 11,729. The next resistance is 11,763 followed by 11,850. Downside looks to 11,300. RSI(14) levels are very high at 85. The big cement stocks upper capped again.

Dividends : Packages Ltd: 60% Cash + 5% Bonus. EPS : Rs.87.30
Indus Motor Co. : 50% Cash. EPS : Rs.16.26

News : The cement prices have gone up from Rs.200 to Rs.275 per bag during the last one week at retail level and the same trend is likely to continue in the coming days as demand always remains on the rise in February/March… Business Recorder

Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) and OMV (Pakistan) initialled an agreement on Tuesday, consenting to amend Sawan Gas Sales Agreement (GSA) under which the Sawan gas deliveries would increase to 280 mmcfd... Business Recorder

SECP officials told Geo News that the investigations against the 88 brokers involved in the KSE March 2005 crash have entered into the final phase. The brokers have been asked through the issued notices to submit evidence to the SECP by February 8 proving the shares’ existence, while short selling of shares above the fixed limit in the future contracts in March 2005…. The notice further said that the broker failing to provide evidence of the existence of shares by February 8 would be liable to a fine up to Rs.100,000, while the option of imprisonment could also be used under section 3B… Geo News

Upper Caps : CTTL / DGKC / FCCL / Lucky Cement / Maple Leaf Cement / Pioneer Cement 

Market Low : 11,601.17  High: 11,756.18

Market Close : 11,729.03 – 96.99 points up. 

 

11,632 - Closing on the October 2006 peak

February 6, 2007

11,632The Karachi Stock market continued its upward rally making a high of 10,763, closing down at 11,632. The close is almost similar to the intra-day high of 11,635, the October 30th 2006 peak. After that the market slid downwards to 11,327. Whether the drop of 131 points from the intra-day high to today’s close is another minor intra-day correction or whether the cracks are setting in for a bigger one, it remains to be seen. Upward resistance is at 11,854 and the downside at 11,275. CFS borrowing has nearly reached its Rs.55 billion cap, so some correction seems inevitable even though a lot of foreign money is currently being pumped into the market.

Dividends : Tri-Pack Films : 50% Cash . EPS : Rs.5.60
Indus Motor Co will announce its results 2moro 

NetSol Technologies Ltd, Pakistan has registered a phenomenal growth with Rs 222.5 million, or 129%, against Rs 97.12 million of the corresponding period of 2005. The gross profit of the company has increased by 201% to Rs 129.9 million in Oct-Dec 2006 against Rs 43.08 million in the same period of 2005…. Daily Times

News : The ex-factory price of cement has gone up by Rs.15 along with India reducing its import duty to zero. Most of the big cements hit upper cap today in anticipation of export orders.

The Privatisation Commission (PC) has shelved the sell-off plan of Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) and Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) until critical issues, including tariff are resolved… Business Recorder

Upper Caps : DGKC / FCCL / Lucky Cement / Maple Leaf Cement / Pioneer Cement

Market Low : 11,589.64 High : 11,763.17

Market Close : 11,632.04 — 42.40 points up 

 

Market closed for Kashmir Day

February 5, 2007

The Karachi Stock Exchange will remain closed today due to a public holiday for Kashmir Day.

11,589

February 2, 2007

11,589416.7 million, a staggeringly large volume of shares were traded at the Karachi Stock Exchange today. No respite for the KSE-100 index as it closed on its high of 11,589 amid technical analysts screaming overbought momentum and exorbitant RSI levels over 80, and the fact that Monday is a holiday. Badla has reached 50 million and is bursting at the seams. Something has to give soon, but its been one fuck of a ride so far !!
A large part of today’s upside was OGDC which moved up Rs.5.55 with the day’s top volume of 78.6 million shares traded, followed by gains in NBP, BOP and PPL.

Dividends : Netsol Technologies Ltd : EPS : Rs.3.75

News :  The Board of Directors of Arif Habib Securities Limited (AHSL) on Wednesday decided to recommend to the general body to merge  AHSL with Arif Habib Rupali Bank Limited (AHRBL). AHRBL is a majority-owned subsidiary of AHSL…Based on this computation, AHRBL should emerge as the 8th largest listed commercial bank in Pakistan in terms of total equity… Business Recorder

All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) decided Thursday to raise cement prices by 10 to 15 Rupees per 50-kilo cement bag… Geo News

Fertiliser sector witnessed a depressed financial performance as the profitability of listed companies fell by 7 percent during the calendar year 2006.According to statistics profitability of the listed manufacturers including Fauji Fertiliser Bin Qasim (FFBL), Fauji Fertiliser Company Limited (FFC), Dawood Hercules Limited (DAWH) and Engro Chemicals Pakistan Limited fell by 7 percent in 2006…. Business Recorder

Upper Caps : Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim / Arif Habib Securites Ltd / Pioneer Cement / Sui North Gas

Market Low : 11,348.62 : High : 11,589.64

Market Close : 11,589.64 – 241.02 points up 

11,349 - Rising above 11,300

February 1, 2007

11,349The Karachi Stock Market made a high of 10,394 and for the first time in several sessions went negative down to 11,259 to close up at 11,349. The KSE-100 index recorded the highest volume of shares traded for 2007 at 369.3 million. Was the intra-day correction the one long overdue or will the market actually close down 200 plus points soon ? The way its going up with foreign funds being pumped in daily, it seems not at the moment, although 2moro is another Friday show with Monday a holiday making it another long weekend.
The rising price of oil has pushed up OGDC and POL, while BOP was the top scorer today in terms of volume with 59.4 million shares traded. MCB has made a record high close of Rs.305.5 The market has closed over its 11,300 resistance level and the next target is 11,500 followed by October’s high of 11,635.

Another $23m inflow in SCRA taking the total for January to $103m and $381million for the fiscal year.

Dividends : Arif Habib Securities Ltd : EPS : Rs.20.67

News : The Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) has maintained its status as leading national oil and gas producing company in the country and produced 48 percent of total crude oil and 22 percent of gas….Its daily average production including share from joint ventures averaged 39,659 barrels per day of crude oil, 937 mmcf per day of gas and 358 metric tons per day of LPG compared with 39,130 barrels of crude oil 919 mmcf of gas and 334 metric tons of LPG during the previous year…. Source : Business Recorder

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has issued show cause notices to brokerage firms under investigation in connection with March 2005 crisis for failure to deposit shares or provide documentary evidence to the Karachi Stock Exchange when their net sales position in the Futures Contract exceeded the prescribed limit of Rs 50 million….Under Section 22(1) of the ordinance, failure to comply with the provisions of any regulation made under the ordinance is liable to a maximum fine of Rs 100,000 and in the event of a continued default a further fine of Rs 2000/- per day…. Business Recorder   (what a fucking joke, as though a piddly Rs. 100,000 (833 quid in real money) fine is going to deter any big broker in this mkt. when they deal in millions daily !! )

Pakistan’s first National Commodity Exchange Limited (NCEL) will start operation from February 7th, and gold has been selected as first commodity to be traded on the board… NCEL’s paid-up capital is worth Rs 50 million and 283 members, while the Karachi Stock Exchange has a share of 40 percent… Business Recorder

Market Low : 11,259.66 High : 11,396.68

Market Close : 11,349.44 — 77.11 points up. 

Board Meetings for February

Netsol Technologies : 1st Feb 

Indus Motor Co : 6th Feb
Packages Ltd.  

Pakistan Refinery Ltd (PRL) : 13th Feb
National Refinery Ltd (NRL)
Hub Power Co. 

Askari Commercial Bank : 14th Feb
United Bank Ltd (UBL) 
Shell

Kot Addu Power Co. (KAPCO) : 16th Feb
PICIC Growth Fund (PGF) 

Lucky Cement : 19th Feb 

Cherat Cement Company Ltd (CHCC) : 20th Feb
Nishat Mills Ltd (NML) 

Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDCL) : 21st Feb
Fauji Cement (FCCL)  

Pakistan Telecommunication Company Ltd. (PTC) : 22nd Feb
Pakistan State Oil (PSO)
Mari Gas Company Ltd (MARI) 

Muslim Commercial Bank (MCB) : 23rd Feb
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Ltd. (SNGP)
Soneri Bank Ltd. (SNBL) 

National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) : 24th Feb 

Faysal Bank (FABL) : 25th Feb
Pakistan Oilfields Ltd. (POL)
Karachi Electric Supply Corporation (KESC)

Attock Refinery Ltd (ATRL) : 26th Feb
Nishat Chunian (NCL)
Glaxo Smith & Kline (GLAXO)
Dera Ghazi Khan Cement Company Ltd. (DGKC)
Dewan Farooque Motor Ltd. (DFML) : 2 pm
Allied Bank Ltd. (ABL) : 3.30pm
Bank Alfalah Ltd : 5 pm 

Pioneer Cement (PIOC) : 27th Feb 

ICI Pakistan (ICI) : 28th Feb
Bank of Punjab (BOP)
Sui Southern Gas Company